This function calculates the expected number of pairs observed in a sample of size M. The multiple-transmission and multiple-linkage method assumes the following:

  1. Each case \(i\) is, on average, the infector of R cases in the population (\(N\))

  2. Each case \(i\) is allowed to be linked by the linkage criteria to multiple cases \(j\) in the sampled population (\(M\)).

  3. Linkage events are independent of one another (i.e, linkage of case \(i\) to case \(j\) has no bearing on linkage of case \(i\) to any other sample).

translink_expected_links_obs_mtml(specificity, sensitivity, rho, M, R)

Arguments

specificity

scalar or vector giving the specificity of the linkage criteria

sensitivity

scalar or vector giving the sensitivity of the linkage criteria

rho

scalar or vector giving the proportion of the final outbreak size that is sampled

M

scalar or vector giving the number of cases sampled

R

scalar or vector giving the effective reproductive number of the pathogen

Value

scalar or vector giving the expected number of linked pairs observed in the sample

Author

John Giles, Shirlee Wohl and Justin Lessler

Examples

# Perfect sensitivity and specificity
translink_expected_links_obs_mtml(sensitivity=1, specificity=1, rho=0.5, M=100, R=1)
#> [1] 50

translink_expected_links_obs_mtml(sensitivity=0.99, specificity=0.9, rho=1, M=50, R=1)
#> [1] 167

translink_expected_links_obs_mtml(sensitivity=0.99, specificity=0.9, rho=0.5, M=100, R=1)
#> [1] 539.5